One Factor Driving All Returns

Apollo Chief Economist

AI is driving returns in equity markets because of the growing size of tech in the S&P 500 index, and this is a problem for both institutional and individual investors, see chart below.

With hyperscalers issuing more debt, AI is increasingly also driving returns in bond markets.

And AI currently makes up 60% of investments in venture capital.

The bottom line is that there is one factor driving returns in portfolios, namely AI.

To avoid being overexposed to just one factor, asset allocation should deliberately increase exposure to sectors, regions and strategies whose fundamentals are less directly tied to AI.

401(k) plans are overweight equities
Note: Equities include equity funds, company stock and the equity portion of balanced funds. Sources: EBRI, ICI, Apollo Chief Economist

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