Chinese Exports Redirected From the US to the Rest of the World

Apollo Chief Economist

The US is no longer importing cheap goods from China. As a result, the rest of the world will likely see a significant increase in imports of cheap Chinese goods that China can no longer sell in the US.

This creates a highly unusual macroeconomic situation, with upward pressure on inflation in the US and downward pressure on inflation in Europe, Canada, Australia, and Japan.

The consequence for markets is that rates will be higher in the US and lower in the rest of the world.

With no trade between the US and China, there are upside risks to US inflation and downside risks to inflation in Europe, Canada, Australia, and Japan
Source: Apollo Chief Economist

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