Container ship departures from China to the US are collapsing, see the first chart.
When consumers cannot get the products that they want from abroad, and the products that are imported are more expensive because of tariffs, the outcome is a slowdown in US consumer spending, see the second chart.
The bottom line is that US consumer spending is facing headwinds from tariffs, relatively high interest rates, student loan payments restarting and deportations lowering the number of consumers.
Note: Displays the estimated number of container vessels departing China for the United States, focusing on dry cargo ships. Aggregates data using a 15-day rolling average to reduce short-term volatility and provide a clearer view of broader trends in vessel activity. Sources: Bloomberg, Macrobond, Apollo Chief EconomistSources: US Census Bureau, Bloomberg, Apollo Chief Economist
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