Stock Buybacks Declining

The consensus is expecting a slowdown in GDP this quarter, driven by household savings drying up, student loan payments restarting, and impacts from high interest rates hitting consumers harder and harder. Additionally, the October jobs report—which will be released on November 3—is expected to show a decline in job creation. With the Federal Reserve raising interest rates since March of 2022, the cost of capital has been rising. This has been putting downward pressure on stock buybacks. Other factors playing a role in this trend include increased tax risks as well as recession and geopolitical worries. The bottom line is that companies seem to be less inclined to pursue buybacks and instead are holding on to the capital they have on hand to run their operations.


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